HomePigJim Lengthy Pork Commentary, Lean Hog Costs Surge Increased, October twenty fourth...

Jim Lengthy Pork Commentary, Lean Hog Costs Surge Increased, October twenty fourth 2022 – Swineweb.com

  • Friday to Friday, December lean hog futures had been $6.88, and February up $7.10. A $15 per head achieve.
  • We’ve got written a number of weeks in a row that summer season lean hog futures within the mid-’90s had been borderline insane. Friday, June, July, and August closed $1.03 – $1.04. Proper route however a good distance from the plus $1.20 we anticipate to see.
  • Final week’s U.S. Pork Export Gross sales report indicated 40,800 metric tonnes of pork bought. The very best weekly gross sales since March of this 12 months. The final 4 weeks have averaged 35,000 metric tonnes. After weeks upon weeks this summer season round 20,000 tonne common. The rise in export gross sales is supporting Hog Costs close to a $1.00 lb. We anticipate as China and Europe’s hog manufacturing continues to say no the world’s pork importers must chase and pay extra for pork.


Within the U.S. the federal government releases oil reserves to curb inflation. In China, the federal government releases pork reserves to curb inflation. Clearly, pork is extra essential in China than within the U.S. Doubt if U.S. authorities leaders even know the value of pork, recognition of the significance of the U.S. pork business could be seen of their reneging of CFAP 1 top-up funds. The identical CFAP 1 top-up they paid to corn producers, the business of $ 7.00-bushel corn.

The China hog value continues to rise regardless of the discharge of pork reserves. As we’ve written for months the billions of {dollars} misplaced by China’s business from July 2021 to Could 2022 was resulting in huge sow herd liquidation. It did. This previous week China’s hog value averaged 28.46 RMB/kg ($1.77 U.S liveweight lb.), on April 1 it was 89¢ lb. U.S. On the primary of September, the value was $1.47. Regardless of a number of China releases of pork reserves, the value has risen 30¢ lb. or $80 per head. We anticipate large quantities of pork to go to China to fill the void of the massive lower in pork manufacturing.


U.S. stronger lean hog futures, money hogs, and export gross sales are a mirrored image of the decline in U.S. and world manufacturing. Traditionally the hog cycle has subsequent to no correlation to macro-economic circumstances i.e., inflation, rates of interest, and unemployment. We anticipate hog costs will attain new highs as we transfer into 2023 from lack of home and world provide.

A Passing of a Big

On October 10 William (Invoice) Prestage handed away from COVID points, he was 87.

Invoice Prestage began as a feed salesman in Michigan, he moved his household to North Carolina. Fashioned a partnership with Otis Carroll, then they constructed a big turkey and swine firm. After Otis handed away in 1982, Invoice bought his curiosity and began Prestage Farms producing Turkeys and Swine.

The Prestage Farms and Prestage Meals household of firms has 5 divisions throughout seven states with three processing crops collectively using greater than 2,300 staff and contracting with over 450 farm households. Prestage Corporations produce 1.4 billion kilos of pork and turkey yearly. Prestage has 178,000 sows on the Genesus World Mega Producer checklist.

Some time in the past I used to be in Prestage Company workplace in North Carolina. An workplace becoming for one in all America’s largest family-owned meat protein firms. Within the workplace, the truth of Prestage being a household enterprise is clear with massive photos of the Prestage household within the entrance and lobby. Invoice and his spouse Marsha, 3 sons, and 5 grandchildren are actively engaged within the enterprise. A legacy that any patriarch and matriarch of a household enterprise would treasure. In farming one of many strengths and advantages of our business is the power to have household of multi-generations working collectively and constructing enterprise that may final for generations.

I by no means met Invoice Prestage however about 35 years in the past he spoke on the Michigan Pork Congress held in Battle Creek, Michigan. Invoice was from Battle Creek so it was a homecoming. Already at the moment, Invoice had constructed a big farming group. I can nonetheless visualize him talking. It was clear, it was constructive, and it was visionary of the way forward for the pig business. A imaginative and prescient that got here to fruition. I’ve heard many audio system however he was one of many few that was memorable.

Invoice Prestage began with subsequent to nothing. His exhausting work, imaginative and prescient, and salesmanship put collectively a workforce together with his household that has constructed an agriculture empire. Fairly the legacy. An enormous in our time.

The next hyperlink tells a extra full story of William (Invoice) Prestage:




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